Korea’s $350bn US Investment Package: What Is Actually Signed (September 2026)

South Korea has agreed to put $350bn into the United States. That much is signed, in a document both governments published. What is not signed is the part the market has been trading: a reported first project, a reported eight reactors, and a reported signing date that has now come and gone. Between August 26 and September 29, 2026, Korea’s own Ministry of Industry and Trade issued ten separate statements about them, and not one of those statements confirms a project — the most recent is dated September 17, 2026, and its clarification board carried no posting of any kind between September 18 and September 29 (the ministry’s separate press board kept running; see the updates above) — that board resumed on October 2, 2026 with two items, neither about this package. This piece does not argue that either side is right. It sets out what exists on paper, and what does not, as of September 29, 2026.

Updated 1 October 2026 — the first row of this article’s checklist has flipped.

On 30 September 2026 the United States announced the projects. A U.S. Department of Commerce fact sheet of that date, Korea and the United States Announce Historic Strategic Investment Projects, names a first project: Project Star, a combined-cycle gas plant at Encinal, La Salle County, Texas — $22.3bn, 6,472 MW, first stage 2029. It also names Project Power (eight reactors: two APR1400 and six AP1000) and Project North (Alaska LNG). Korea’s Ministry of Industry and Trade posted its own counterpart the next day — (참고자료) 한미 전략투자 프로젝트 추진 계획 발표, article 30,094, registered 1 October 2026, issuing division 미주통상과, attachment (참고자료)미주통상과, 한미 전략투자 프로젝트 추진 계획 발표.pdf.

So the government-document row is no longer empty, and we are saying so first. We wrote that this piece was built to outlive itself and that the checklist would flip if either government announced. It has, and this is the flip.

Two things did not change, and they are the reason to keep reading. First, no Korean listed company has filed a contract for any of it. We re-ran all four nuclear-chain companies on 1 October 2026. Doosan Enerbility did file a supply contract that morning — rcpNo 20261001800034, the O Mon III combined-cycle EPC — and its region field reads Vietnam, Can Tho, counterparty Vietnam National Industry – Energy Group, ₩837,970,880,392. KEPCO E&C, KEPCO KPS and BHI filed nothing. Zero US contracts. Second, the reactors are a framework on the Korean side, not eight committed builds: the ministry’s plan has the nuclear and Alaska legs going to further review of structure and economics before any individual project is decided.

And one claim we are correcting about our own method. We wrote that the ministry’s board “has carried no posting of any kind since September 18.” That is true of the clarification board we had enumerated — it was still at zero new posts when we checked on 1 October 2026 (it resumed on 2 October — see the update below), and its most recent word on this package remains the 17 September statement that the size and timing of any remittance are not confirmed. But the ministry also runs a separate press and reference board, and that one never went quiet: it carried six items on 30 September alone. Reading “the board” as “the ministry” was our error, and the sentence below now says which board. What we could not do: commerce.gov returned HTTP 403 to us on 1 October 2026 on both a plain and a browser-identified request, so the fact-sheet figures above are as reported and are not transcribed from the page; the Korean PDF is an attachment we have not parsed.

Updated 6 October 2026: the clarification board has resumed. It posted two items on October 2, 2026 — one from the Semiconductor Division on the execution rate of an AI-chip R&D budget, one from the Petroleum Industry Division on price-cap rulemaking (board items 2,631 and 2,632) — and neither concerns this package. That bounds the sentence that mattered: the board was silent from September 18 to September 29, and its most recent word on this package is still the 17 September statement. The 2026 count of package clarifications is unchanged at fourteen.

Updated September 29, 2026: we re-ran the two record systems this article rests on. The ministry’s clarification board has issued four more statements about the package since our first pass — September 15, 15, 16 and 17 — and a wider census found four earlier ones we had missed, so the count rises from seven to fourteen in 2026. None confirms a project. The reported September 18 signing date passed with no announcement from either government. And across the nineteen days from September 10 to September 29 the four listed Korean nuclear-chain companies filed zero contracts with the United States in the region field. The filing census, the NRC material and the Federal Register counts are dated to their own verification dates in the text; where we could not reach a source again, we say so rather than re-date it.

🔑 Key Takeaways

  • The framework is signed; the projects are not. Korea and the United States signed a Memorandum of Understanding on strategic investment on November 14, 2025, and Korea’s National Assembly passed an enabling statute on March 12, 2026 (Sources: Ministry of Industry and Trade, policy briefing 148954760, Nov 14, 2025; policy briefing 148960744, Mar 12, 2026). Neither document names a project.
  • The ceiling is $200bn of strategic investment, and no more than $20bn in any calendar year. It is the Korean document that states it as a limit: “연간 납입한도는 최대 200억 달러이며” — “the annual payment ceiling is at most $20 billion” (Source: korea.kr policy briefing 148954760, Nov 14, 2025). The American text reaches the same figure as the outer edge of an obligation rather than as a prohibition: “As trusted partners, the two nations agree that the ROK shall not be required to fund an aggregate amount of U.S. dollars greater than $20 billion in any calendar year” (Source: White House Joint Fact Sheet, Nov 13, 2025).
  • Fourteen government documents address the reports, and not one confirms a project. Ten of the fourteen were issued between August 26 and September 29, 2026 — one on August 26, two on September 7, two on September 9, one on September 10, two on September 15, one on September 16 and one on September 17 — with four earlier ones on May 8, July 28, August 18 and August 25. Nine say the specifics are not decided, four deny a specific reported claim outright, and one does both. Two of the denials confirm the $200bn ceiling, by contradicting reports that it had been exceeded. The attachment filenames name the newspapers each one answers (Source: Ministry of Industry and Trade, press-clarification board, censused September 29, 2026).
  • Korean listed companies have supplied nuclear equipment to American sites — and every one of those contracts had ended by May 2014. A census of 1,199 supply-contract filings finds four nuclear contracts with an American connection. Three have a region field naming the United States: Doosan’s 2008 order from Westinghouse for Vogtle units 3 and 4 (USD 247,029,000, rcpNo 20080506800108, ran to March 15, 2014) and two BHI contracts to supply Toshiba with what the filings call nuclear power plant auxiliary equipment (USD 63,822,400 later amended to USD 70,106,725 — the increase is stated in the amendment itself, whose reason field reads contract amount change — and USD 5,040,000; rcpNos 20100428900012, 20111004900227 and 20100811900019, ran to May 31, 2014 and August 30, 2013). The fourth has an American counterparty and a Chinese site. Nothing nuclear with an American site or an American counterparty has been in force since 2014.
  • The Korean reactor design has held a US certificate since September 19, 2019, and no licence application has ever referenced it. The NRC’s own list of combined-licence applications runs to 20 entries; the designs cited are AP1000, ESBWR, U.S. EPR, US-APWR, ABWR and Aurora (Source: NRC, Combined License Applications, page updated Aug 27, 2026).
  • Every project-level figure in the headlines is unsourced — and several appear in a government document only as the sentence being denied. $22.3bn, 6.3GW, $120bn, “eight reactors”, a September 18 signing: not one is stated by any Korean or American government document we could reach. Some are quoted in the ministry’s own clarifications, because that is how the format works — the document prints the report’s claim under the heading <보도 내용>, “content of the report,” and then declines to confirm it. A figure transcribed from a newspaper into a denial has not acquired a source. The framework totals do appear, in both governments’ own documents, as their own.
  • Nineteen days, four companies, zero American contracts. We re-ran the disclosure check across the whole nuclear chain — Doosan Enerbility (034020), KEPCO E&C (052690), KEPCO KPS (051600) and BHI (083650) — for every filing between September 10 and September 29, 2026. Two new supply contracts were filed, and the region field on both reads domestic: KEPCO E&C’s ₩53,500,000,000 order from Taewon U&R (rcpNo 20260915800684, 10.31% of recent revenue) and BHI’s ₩223,548,000,000 LNG combined-cycle order from Korea Western Power (rcpNo 20260916900117, 28.9%). A signed contract is a disclosable event. Nineteen days produced none with an American destination.

📋 Four Layers, Two of Them Signed

The single most common error in English-language coverage of this story is treating “the Korea deal” as one thing that is either done or not done. It is at least four things, at four different stages. Sorting them is most of the work.

Layer Status as of Sep 29, 2026 Document
Framework (MOU) ✅ Signed November 14, 2025 Korean and English texts published as PDFs by the Ministry of Industry and Trade (motir.go.kr); mirrored at korea.kr 148954760
Statute ✅ Passed the National Assembly March 12, 2026 Special Act on the Operation and Management of Strategic Investment between the Republic of Korea and the United States, bill 2217405 — passed 226 for, 8 against, 8 abstaining (National Assembly roll-call record)
First project ❌ Not decided Ministry clarification, September 17, 2026, Korea–US Trade Cooperation Division: the remittance size and timing and “the announcement of the first project” are not confirmed (article 172220). First said on September 7 (172164), and on May 8 before that
Nuclear component ❌ Not decided Ministry clarification, September 15, 2026, Nuclear Export Promotion Division: specifics of the nuclear project, “including the acquisition of a Westinghouse stake,” are not decided (article 172202). Same division, same wording, on September 7 (172165)

Sources as linked. The first two rows were verified against the source pages on September 10, 2026; the two “not decided” rows were re-verified against the ministry’s board on September 29, 2026 and now cite the most recent statement rather than the first.

⚡ Quick Take: “Is the Korea deal signed?” has no single answer, and that is not a technicality. The signed layers commit money to a mechanism. The unsigned layers are where the money would actually go. An investor buying a Korean reactor supplier is exposed to the second set, not the first.

📰 Which Reported Numbers Have a Primary Source?

Not one project-level figure in this story has a government document behind it — not the $22.3bn, not the 6.3GW, not the eight reactors, not the ~$120bn, not the September 18 signing. The figures that do have one are the framework totals both governments published, $350bn / $200bn / $150bn, and the $20bn annual ceiling.

The split is the point: everything at the level of the framework is documented, and everything at the level of a project is not. The table below is the whole argument of this article in one grid. The left column is what has been reported. The middle column is what we could find in a Korean or American government document. The right column is what the government actually said.

One distinction has to be made before the table, because it is the difference between reading these documents and mis-reading them. Several of the reported figures do appear inside a ministry clarification — the format prints the report’s own claim under the heading <보도 내용>, “content of the report,” before the ministry answers it. The July 28, 2026 clarification, for instance, records that Hankyung and Money Today “reported that a $19.8bn Texas LNG combined-cycle plant had been selected as the first investment project,” and then says the specifics and the timing of any announcement are not decided (Source: motir.go.kr article 172064, Jul 28, 2026). That is a government document containing the figure. It is not a government document stating the figure. A number quoted in order to be declined has not acquired a source, and the column below is asking the second question, not the first.

Reported Primary source? What the government said
$350bn total, split $200bn / $150bn ✅ Yes Both governments published it (Nov 13–14, 2025)
$20bn annual funding cap ✅ Yes Stated as a ceiling by the Korean release and the statute; the White House text caps the obligation at the same figure
Strategic investment above $200bn / US asking for more than $350bn ✅ Yes — as a denial “Not true,” Sep 9 and again Sep 16, 2026 (the two clarifications that confirm a figure rather than declining to)
First project: a $22.3bn, 6.3GW gas plant in Texas (“Encinal”) ❌ None found “The first project has not been decided,” Sep 7 — and the announcement of it still “not confirmed” on Sep 17, 2026
Eight reactors, ~$120bn ❌ None found “The specifics have not yet been decided,” Sep 7, Sep 9 and Sep 15, 2026
Final signing on September 18, 2026 ❌ None found The ministry answered the report carrying that date the same day it ran — and the date passed with no announcement
Profit-sharing structure per project ❌ None found “Not yet decided,” Sep 10, 2026
First remittance of $2.2bn “plus alpha”, reported for Sep 29–30, 2026. Press reported on Oct 1 that $2.4bn was sent immediately after the Sep 30 announcement, by the Korea–US Strategic Investment Corporation — sourced to unnamed government officials, not to a published announcement ❌ None found — re-checked Oct 1, 2026 The size and timing of any remittance are “not confirmed,” Sep 9 and again Sep 17, 2026. That is still the ministry’s most recent word on the remittance, and the Oct 1 plan document does not supersede it on this point

Sources: White House Joint Fact Sheet (Nov 13, 2025); Ministry of Industry and Trade press-clarification board, articles 171812 / 172064 / 172111 / 172122 / 172127 / 172164 / 172165 / 172176 / 172177 / 172183 / 172200 / 172202 / 172205 / 172220; korea.kr 148954760, 148960744, 148964050. The Sep 29–30 remittance date and the $2.2bn figure are the Hankyoreh report of Sep 8, 2026, as quoted inside article 172176. “None found” means our search of the Korean ministry’s press and clarification boards, korea.kr, whitehouse.gov, ustr.gov, the Federal Register API and DART returned no document stating the figure as the government’s own. See the limits section below.

✍️ What Has Korea Actually Signed With the United States?

A framework, signed November 14, 2025, and a domestic statute to run it, passed March 12, 2026 — and neither one names a single project, sector or counterparty.

Start with the thing that makes this story unusual: Korea’s Ministry of Industry and Trade did not merely announce the memorandum, it published the memorandum, in Korean and in English, as PDF attachments on its own board — the attachment list names both files, 한-미 전략적 투자 MOU (국문본)_수정.pdf and 한-미 전략적 투자 MOU (영문본).pdf. We could not open either. The download endpoint answers with the correct filename in its Content-Disposition header and then serves an HTTP 404 page, on September 10 and again on September 11, 2026. So everything we quote below is from the ministry’s summary, not from the memorandum’s text. That summary describes “strategic investment of $350bn” consisting of “$200bn of investment and $150bn of shipbuilding-cooperation investment including our companies’ direct investment (FDI), guarantees and ship finance.” The signatories were Korea’s Minister of Industry and Trade, Kim Jeong-gwan, and US Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick.

The American side published its own account the day before. The White House joint fact sheet, dated November 13, 2025, records “$150 billion of Korean investment in the shipbuilding sector approved by the United States, which is referred to as the Approved Investments” and “$200 billion of additional Korean investment committed pursuant to the Memorandum of Understanding with respect to Strategic Investments (MOU), which is expected to be signed by representatives of the United States and ROK.” That trailing clause is worth keeping: on November 13 the American document treated the memorandum as forthcoming, and the Korean ministry published the signed text the next day.

On nuclear matters the fact sheet says two specific things, and both are hedged in ways the current headlines are not. The first is fenced by two conditions before it begins and a purpose limit at the end: “Consistent with the bilateral 123 agreement and subject to U.S. legal requirements, the United States supports the process that will lead to the ROK’s civil uranium enrichment and spent fuel reprocessing for peaceful uses.” Strip the conditions and it reads as an American commitment to Korean enrichment; keep them and it is support for a process, inside an existing treaty, subject to American law. The second is flat: “The United States has given approval for the ROK to build nuclear-powered attack submarines.” We searched the full text: it does not contain the word “Texas”, the word “reactor”, or any number of power reactors.

Then came the machinery. On March 12, 2026 the National Assembly passed the Special Act on the Operation and Management of Strategic Investment between the Republic of Korea and the United States, by 226 votes to 8 with 8 abstentions of 242 members present — and here the primary record carries more than the wire copy did, because the Assembly’s own roll-call page also prints the denominator: 295 sitting members, so 53 did not vote at all (Source: National Assembly, 의안정보시스템 roll-call record for bill 2217405, vote dated Mar 12, 2026, which prints “재석 242인 / 재적 295인 … 원안가결 242인 (찬성 226인, 반대 8인, 기권 8인)”). The act creates a Korea–US Strategic Investment Corporation with legal capital of $1.5bn (₩2tn — our conversion at ₩1,345.06/$1, the September 7, 2026 rate used throughout this piece; the statute states the won figure only), mandates that it operate for no more than twenty years and then be dissolved, and — the clause that deserves more attention than it has had — obliges the government to consult the United States on adjusting the cash-flow distribution ratio if an individual project cannot recover principal and interest within those twenty years.

That last clause is why the September 10 clarification matters. A statute that provides for renegotiating profit splits presupposes that the splits exist. The ministry’s position, as of its most recent statement on September 17, 2026, is that they do not yet.

⚡ Quick Take: Both governments described the deal with the same three numbers — $350bn, $200bn, $150bn — and neither described a project. Every project-level number in circulation entered the record through journalism, not through either government.

💵 How Much Money Is Involved, and How Fast Can It Move?

The strategic-investment ceiling is $200bn, and no more than $20bn of it can be called in a single calendar year — a ceiling the Korean release states outright, and one the American fact sheet frames as an obligation Korea cannot be made to exceed.

The annual cap is the number that decides whether this story is about the next quarter or the next decade. The Korean ministry’s release states it as a ceiling in so many words — “연간 납입한도는 최대 200억 달러이며”, “the annual payment ceiling is at most $20 billion” — and then describes the mechanism: the $200bn is disbursed “by way of capital calls keyed to project milestones, with an annual limit of $20bn, in order to ease the burden on the foreign exchange market,” and Korea may ask for the timing or the size of a payment to be adjusted if the currency market is under strain. The White House text arrives at the same figure from the opposite direction, and the difference in wording is worth keeping: “As trusted partners, the two nations agree that the ROK shall not be required to fund an aggregate amount of U.S. dollars greater than $20 billion in any calendar year.” That declines to require a faster pace. It does not forbid one. The figure appears as an actual limit in Korean law: the March 2026 special act writes it in as a safeguard — “연간 대미 투자 200억 달러 최대 한도”, “a maximum annual limit of $20bn of investment in the United States” (Source: korea.kr policy briefing 148960744, Mar 12, 2026).

One limit on that comparison, and we would rather state it than let it pass. Everything above is each government’s own public account of the clause — a press release, a fact sheet and a summary of a statute. It is not the memorandum’s operative text. The ministry does publish the memorandum itself, in Korean and English, and its attachment list names both files; but the download endpoint returns an HTTP 404 page while echoing the correct filename back in its headers, on both days we tried it, so we have not read how the MOU words this clause. That matters specifically here: if the memorandum’s own Korean text uses the same “shall not be required to fund” construction as the American fact sheet, then the ceiling-versus-obligation distinction drawn above is a distinction between two press summaries and not between the two governments’ commitments. We cannot close that gap from the documents we could open. So read the asymmetry as an asymmetry between two governments’ public characterisations, which is what we actually checked.

Two consequences follow directly, without any forecasting.

First, arithmetic. At the maximum permitted pace, $200bn takes ten calendar years to deploy. Any single-year figure larger than $20bn is inconsistent with the ceiling the Korean documents publish, which is presumably why the ministry moved quickly on September 9 to contradict a report that the totals were being exceeded. Its statement is unusually direct for the genre: the claim that the United States had demanded more than $350bn, or that strategic investment would exceed $200bn, “is not true.”

Second, a units trap that has already produced errors in English-language write-ups. The Korean documents state the annual cap as 200억 달러 — “20 billion dollars.” Read as the more familiar 2,000억 (200 billion), the cap becomes the whole programme in a single year. It is a one-character difference in Korean and a tenfold difference in dollars. If you see a report describing $200bn of annual Korean funding, that is the error.

There is a third, softer condition worth recording because it is the government’s own stated screen. The ministry’s release says Korea will recommend to the US President only investments that are “commercially reasonable” and where “sufficient recovery of the investment is assured.” That is a standard, not a project list, and it is the reason a project can be reported, discussed and still not exist as a commitment.

🗣️ Has the Korean Government Said Anything About the Reported Nuclear Deal?

Yes — fourteen times in 2026, in fourteen separate published documents, and not one of them confirms a project. Nine say the specifics are not decided, four deny a specific reported claim outright, and one does both.

This is the part of the story that is invisible in English. Korea’s Ministry of Industry and Trade runs a board called 보도설명자료 — press clarifications. When a report is wrong or premature, the relevant division posts a document saying so, with the responding division named and the answered article named in the attachment filename. Fourteen of them concern the US investment package in 2026, ten of those issued between August 26 and September 29. They exist only in Korean, as PDF and HWPX attachments. As far as we can determine, no English-language outlet has cited them.

How we counted, because an absence claim is only as good as its method. We paginated the board back to August 2025 — 120 entries — and filtered the titles for 대미 (toward the US), 한미 (Korea–US), 미국, 원전 (nuclear power) and 웨스팅하우스, then read each hit to confirm it concerns this package rather than domestic nuclear-export policy. The filter was tested first against a statement we already knew was in the set, which is the only way to tell a working filter from a silent one. Four entries that survive the keyword filter are excluded as a different subject: the May 6, April 22 and April 13, 2026 clarifications about restructuring Korea’s nuclear-export governance, and a January 28 one about tariffs. Our count is bounded by that filter and by the board’s own titles.

Date Division Answers What it says is not decided
2026-05-08
171812
Korea–US Trade Cooperation KBS and others (May 7) The first project’s specifics and the timing of any announcement — answering reports that it was “narrowed to two” and that Alaska was under review
2026-07-28
172064
Korea–US Trade Cooperation Hankyung, Money Today (Jul 28) The first project’s specifics — answering the report of a $19.8bn Texas LNG combined-cycle plant
2026-08-18
172111
Americas Trade JoongAng Ilbo (Aug 18) Denies that memory-chip capacity was under discussion as the first strategic-investment project
2026-08-25
172122
Nuclear Export Promotion Hankyung (Aug 24) Denies that the two governments would jointly fund a purchase of a Westinghouse stake
2026-08-26
172127
Nuclear Export Promotion Edaily (Aug 26) Reactor-model allocation, Westinghouse equity, joint-venture structure
2026-09-07
172165
Nuclear Export Promotion Money Today (Sep 7) The nuclear project’s specifics — the report carrying “eight reactors” and a September 18 signing
2026-09-07
172164
Korea–US Trade Cooperation Herald Business, Edaily (Sep 7) The identity of the first project — “what was reported today differs from the facts”
2026-09-09
172177
Korea–US Trade Cooperation Yonhap (Sep 8) Confirms the ceilings: a US demand above $350bn, or strategic investment above $200bn, “is not true”
2026-09-09
172176
Korea–US Trade Cooperation Hankyoreh (Sep 8) The size and timing of the first remittance; the specifics of nuclear cooperation — answering the report of a Sep 18 announcement and a Sep 29–30 remittance
2026-09-10
172183
Korea–US Trade Cooperation Hankyoreh (Sep 10) The profit-distribution structure
2026-09-15
172200
Americas Trade Hankyoreh (Sep 14) Denies having reported an expected return on the investment to the National Assembly in February 2026 — answering a report that a 16% return was needed to recover principal and interest
2026-09-15
172202
Nuclear Export Promotion Hankyung (Sep 15) The nuclear project’s specifics, “including the acquisition of a Westinghouse stake”
2026-09-16
172205
Korea–US Trade Cooperation Hankyoreh (Sep 15) Confirms the ceiling again — that the investment has passed $200bn “is not true” — and adds that the project specifics are not decided
2026-09-17
172220
Korea–US Trade Cooperation Herald Business (Sep 17) The most recent. The remittance size and timing, and the announcement of the first project, are not confirmed

Source: Ministry of Industry and Trade press-clarification board, article numbers linked in the first column; the May 8 document is also mirrored at korea.kr 148964050. Titles, registration dates, issuing divisions and attachment filenames were verified page by page — the first seven rows on September 10, 2026 and all fourteen on September 29, 2026, when the board was also paginated back to August 2025 to look for entries the first pass had missed. Four were found, and they are rows one to four above. Division names are our translations: 한미통상협력과, 미주통상과 and 원전수출진흥과. Note the ministry’s name and domain changed: it is 산업통상부 at motir.go.kr, not the former 산업통상자원부 at motie.go.kr.

Four things in that table are worth pulling out.

The May 8 entry matters most. “Nothing has been decided” is not a September posture adopted under pressure; the ministry said the same thing about the same first project four and a half months earlier, answering a different broadcaster, and said it again on July 28 to two more. The reported identity of the project has changed repeatedly across those fourteen documents — two finalists and Alaska in May, a $19.8bn Texas LNG plant in July, memory-chip capacity in August, a $22.3bn Texas gas plant in September. The ministry’s answer has not changed once. Whatever else is true, the undecided state is durable, and it is the reported specifics that keep moving.

Only two of the fourteen confirm a figure rather than declining to, and they confirm the same one. On September 9 and again on September 16 the ministry said that strategic investment above $200bn, or a US demand above $350bn, is not true. It is worth noticing why only this figure gets that treatment: the ministry will state a ceiling because the ceiling is in the signed MOU. It will not state a project, because no project is in any signed document. The pattern of what the government will and will not say maps exactly onto what has and has not been signed.

The other denials are about the record, not the deal. Three of the four flat denials — memory chips as the first project, a jointly funded Westinghouse purchase, and a return figure reported to the National Assembly — answer claims about what was decided or said internally, not about the framework’s size. The September 15 one is the sharpest: the ministry’s position is not that the 16% hurdle rate is wrong but that it never gave the National Assembly a return figure at all. That is a denial that a document exists, which is a different and more falsifiable claim than “not yet decided.”

And the attachment filenames are themselves evidence. Each PDF is titled with the response and the answered outlet in parentheses — “(9.7, Money Today)”, “(9.8, Yonhap)”, “(9.15, Hankyung)”, “(9.17, Herald Business)”. The ministry is not making a general statement into the air. It is answering specific articles, by name, and fast: set each clarification’s registration date against the article date in its own filename and the lag is never more than one day across all fourteen — eight landed the same day the article ran, the other six the next day.

⚡ Quick Take: A denial is quieter than the report it answers. Bloomberg carried the claim worldwide on September 8, 2026, under the headline “Korea Picks $22 Billion Gas Project as First Under Trade Deal.” The documents answering that claim are not addressed to Bloomberg: they name the Korean outlets that carried it — Herald Business and Edaily on September 7, Yonhap and Hankyoreh on September 9 — and they exist only in Korean, as attachments on a government board. That asymmetry — loud claim in English, quiet correction in Korean — is the single most reliable source of mispricing in Korean equities, and it requires no analytical skill to exploit. It requires reading Korean.

🗓️ What Happened on the Reported September 18 Signing Date?

Nothing was announced. September 18, 2026 passed with no statement from either government, no contract filing from any Korean company, and no further word from the ministry — whose clarification board then carried no posting of any kind for the eleven days to September 29.

We record this carefully, because the date’s passing proves less than it looks like it does. September 18 was never a government date. It entered the record through a Money Today report on September 7, which the Nuclear Export Promotion Division answered the same day, and it was repeated in a Hankyoreh report on September 8 that added a first remittance on September 29–30 and “$2.2bn plus alpha” for the year — a report the Korea–US Trade Cooperation Division answered on September 9 and again, in substance, on September 17. A date the government declined to confirm cannot be disproved by its own passing. What it does do is close the one short-dated catalyst the reporting had supplied, and leave the record exactly where the fourteen clarifications left it.

The one thing worth more than the date is the eleven days of quiet that followed it. The ministry’s clarification board answers reports within a day, fourteen times over, whenever a report about this package runs. Between September 18 and September 29 it posted nothing at all — not about this package and not about anything else. That is not a denial, and it is not a confirmation. It is the absence of any report worth answering.

Nineteen days of filings, checked company by company

The second record system is the one that would have to move if a contract were signed. We re-ran the whole nuclear chain for every disclosure of any type between September 10 and September 29, 2026. Eleven filings, four companies, and not one with the United States in it.

Company New supply contracts, Sep 10–29, 2026 Region field Other filings in the window
Doosan Enerbility (034020) None — An IR notice (Sep 22) and a clarification of a media report (Sep 17) — discussed below
KEPCO E&C (052690) ₩53,500,000,000 from Taewon U&R, 10.31% of recent revenue (rcpNo 20260915800684) Domestic (국내) An extraordinary general meeting result and a director filing (Sep 22)
KEPCO KPS (051600) None — Two shareholder-meeting notices (Sep 16, Sep 17)
BHI (083650) ₩223,548,000,000 LNG combined-cycle order from Korea Western Power, 28.9% (rcpNo 20260916900117) Domestic (국내) Three amendments to earlier contracts (Sep 10, 21, 23) — counterparties Petrovietnam, Hyundai E&C and Korea District Heating

Source: DART OpenAPI disclosure lists for corp codes 00159616, 00159209, 00159218 and 00409788, window September 10–29, 2026, every filing type, read September 29, 2026; filing texts read via document.xml. BHI’s contract is ₩216,987,255,000 confirmed plus ₩6,560,745,000 contingent, which is the ₩223,548,000,000 total the filing prints; the percentage is the filing’s own “share of recent revenue” field against FY2025 consolidated revenue. KEPCO E&C’s filing notes that its contract is project-financed and can be cancelled if the financing does not close, and that it has no start or end date yet for that reason. Won figures are left in won here because they are the filings’ own amounts and none of these contracts is American.

The Doosan filing is the one that rewards reading. On September 17, 2026 — the day before the reported signing — Doosan Enerbility filed a 풍문 또는 보도에 대한 해명, a clarification of a media report, and it is the confirming form of one: the version a company must file when it finally resolves an earlier “undetermined” answer. The subject is not this package. It is a May 28, 2024 report that Doosan would supply equipment for NuScale’s small modular reactors, and the resolution is a denial: Doosan states that it holds a right, as a strategic investor in NuScale Power, to supply a certain volume of equipment on projects NuScale wins, but that “the business discussion between NuScale Power and Standard Power referred to in the above media report is not currently proceeding” and that the reported equipment supply “is not true as of now.” The filing lists the six prior undetermined answers it closes out (Source: DART rcpNo 20260917800618, filed Sep 17, 2026). We trace that twenty-eight-month chain filing by filing, alongside the fifty-year runway underneath this whole story, in our timeline of Korea’s nuclear industry from 1975 to 2026.

⚡ Quick Take: The only American nuclear item any of these four companies filed in the nineteen days around the reported signing date was a denial, and it closed a story that had been open for twenty-eight months. That is worth holding next to the reporting, without overreading it: a NuScale SMR contract and an APR1400 programme are different businesses, and a denial about one says nothing about the other. What the two systems agree on is narrower and firmer — across nineteen days, no Korean company disclosed a contract with an American destination of any kind, nuclear or otherwise.

⛽ Is the Reported “First Project” a Nuclear Project?

On the reporting, no — the first project is described as a gas-fired power plant in Texas, and the ministry says even that has not been decided.

The press account, which we grade as reporting and not as record, runs roughly as follows: the first project under the investment framework would be a combined-cycle gas plant in Texas of about 6.3GW, at around $22.3bn, with nuclear following as a later tranche of some eight reactors and roughly $120bn. The reported figure has also moved: $19.8bn in July 2026, then a reported US request of $25bn, then $22.3bn. The first of those three is anchored, at least as a report: the ministry’s July 28 clarification quotes it — “a $19.8bn Texas LNG combined-cycle plant” — while declining to confirm it (Source: motir.go.kr article 172064). We record the movement because it is part of the reporting record, and we stop there — all three are press figures with no government document stating any of them, and nothing we can read tells us what moved them. The July report and the September one agree on the state and on the plant type — a Texas combined-cycle plant — and the July clarification names no site, so we cannot say from these documents whether the project being described in July is the one being described in September.

We tried to find the project in the places a real American power project leaves traces, and found nothing. There is no matching name in the ERCOT interconnection queue, at the Texas Public Utility Commission, at FERC, in developer press releases, or in Korean corporate filings. The only FERC hit on the reported project name is an unrelated 2007 gas-gathering entity. One check we could not complete: the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality moved its permit search to a JavaScript-only portal on August 31, 2026, and we could not query it programmatically. A large gas plant needs an air permit, so that is a genuine gap in our search rather than a confirmed absence.

What we can say with confidence is narrower and more useful: as of September 29, 2026, the Korean government has not identified a first project, and no Korean listed company has filed a contract for one. Those are two independent record systems, and both are empty. The American infrastructure records above were searched on September 11, 2026 and we have not re-run them since; the two Korean systems were re-run on September 29.

📂 What Do Korean Filings Actually Show About US Orders?

A census of every supply-contract filing by the four listed Korean nuclear-chain companies — 1,199 filings from 1999 to September 10, 2026 — turns up fifteen contracts with an American connection of some kind. Four of the fifteen are nuclear. Three of those four have a region field naming the United States, and the last of the three expired on May 31, 2014. Nothing nuclear with an American site or an American counterparty has been in force since.

That sentence is deliberately built out of three different questions, because "a US contract" is not one thing. The filings answer three separate questions, and they give three different answers — which is why a single number here is always wrong. We set the three out before the table.

Korean listed companies must file a disclosure called 단일판매ㆍ공급계약체결 — a single sale or supply contract — when they win a contract above a size threshold. The filing has structured fields, and one of them is 판매ㆍ공급지역: the sales or supply region. That field is why this question can be answered by counting rather than by searching.

Here is the scope, re-run on September 10, 2026 rather than quoted from an earlier pass. The census window closes on that date; the nineteen days from September 10 to September 29 are covered separately, company by company, in the section above, and they added two contracts, both domestic.

Company All filings Supply contracts Text obtained Not obtained
Doosan Enerbility (034020) 2,902 172 172 0
KEPCO E&C (052690) 902 170 170 0
KEPCO KPS (051600) 1,084 305 302 3
BHI (083650) 1,319 552 457 95
Total 6,207 1,199 1,101 98

Source: DART OpenAPI list.json, paginated, window January 1, 1999 to September 10, 2026, filtered on report names containing 단일판매 or 공급계약 (including amendments, autonomous disclosures and progress reports). Filing texts read via document.xml. Coverage of the supply-contract population is 100% for Doosan Enerbility and KEPCO E&C, 99.0% for KEPCO KPS, 82.8% for BHI and 91.8% overall (1,101 of 1,199). Region determined two ways: the structured region field, and a full-text scan for US-related tokens, because the region field sometimes reads “overseas” rather than naming a country. Two numbers matter here and they are not the same number. The open API returns status 014, "file does not exist" for 196 of the 1,199 filings — BHI 95, KEPCO KPS 65, KEPCO E&C 31, Doosan Enerbility 5 — because for some older exchange-routed filings the API holds no document. Of those 196 we recovered 98 through the DART web viewer, which serves the same documents by a different route. The 98 still unread are BHI (95) and KEPCO KPS (3), concentrated in 2015–2020; the viewer stopped responding to our address partway through the run, which is why the recovery stopped where it did rather than at a cleaner boundary.

Note what the coverage column permits and forbids. For Doosan Enerbility and KEPCO E&C — the two companies at the centre of any reactor story — the census is complete, and a statement about the absence of US nuclear contracts there rests on all of their filings. For BHI it rests on 82.8% of them, and should be read as such. That distinction matters more than it looks: an absence claim is only as strong as its coverage, and ours has a hole in it that we can name.

Three questions, three different answers. Every filing below qualifies as "US-related" on at least one of these tests, and the tests do not pick out the same filings. We name the test in the last column of the table, every time.

  1. Does the region field name the United States? The field is 판매ㆍ공급지역, the sales or supply region — where the goods go. Thirteen contracts (19 filings, including six amendments). One of the thirteen names Guam, which is American soil but not one of the fifty states; we keep it separate rather than deciding for you.
  2. Is the counterparty an American legal entity? The field is 계약상대. Nine contracts. This is not the same set: two BHI contracts with a US region field were signed with Toshiba, a Japanese company, and one with LURGI, a German one — while one Doosan contract with an American counterparty was for a plant in China.
  3. Does the filing name an actual American place? Two contracts. Everything else says only "US" or "overseas (US)" and names no plant and no town. The two that do are Doosan’s Vogtle 3 and 4 in Georgia, and Doosan’s Ukudu plant on Guam.

Now the fifteen. Every figure below is transcribed from the filing, and where the filing prints its own dollar amount we use the filing’s number rather than recomputing it — the older ones state the exchange rate they applied, and re-deriving the dollars at any other rate invents a figure that is in no document. Amendments are folded into the contract they amend rather than listed separately.

Filed Company · rcpNo Contract, as named in the filing Amount Counterparty Region field Qualifies via
2001-09-26 Doosan Heavy · 20010926000031 Long-term power equipment supply (the filing titles it GE Long Term Sourcing) ₩734,272,073,594 = USD 562,014,599 at ₩1,306.50/$ · 30% General Electric International, Inc — relation: orderer "U S A" Region + counterparty
2006-09-27 Doosan Heavy · 20060907800046 Long-term power equipment supply (steam turbines and generators) ₩176,987,494,400 · 5.36% (filing prints no USD — see note) "US GE (General Electric)" — relation: orderer US Region + counterparty
2006-12-08 BHI (as 범우이엔지) · 20061208900004 "11 Vessels and Tanks, 3 Heat Exchangers" — plant type not stated ₩1,688,200,000 = USD 1,835,000 at ₩920.00/$ · 2.38% (amended four times, value unchanged) LURGI — a German company "overseas (US)" Region only
2007-07-27 Doosan Heavy · 20070719800192 "Sanmen and Haiyang, China — nuclear plant equipment supply" Withheld ("below the mandatory ratio; commercial confidentiality") "US Westinghouse" China Counterparty only
2007-09-05 BHI · 20070905900016 Low- and high-pressure feedwater heaters (22 units) ₩11,179,942,400 = USD 11,924,000 at ₩937.6/$ · 17.91% Bechtel Power Corporation (U.S.A.) US Region + counterparty
2007-12-04 Doosan Heavy · 20071120800080 Long-term power equipment supply (steam turbines and generators) ₩187,362,728,800 = USD 202,423,000 at ₩925.60/$ · 5.34% GE (General Electric International, Inc.) — relation: orderer US and others Region + counterparty
2008-05-08 Doosan Heavy · 20080506800108 "US Vogtle #3,4 nuclear AP1000 equipment supply" — terms: "supply of core equipment for nuclear power generation" ₩252,216,609,000 = USD 247,029,000 at ₩1,021.00/$ · 6.17% Westinghouse Electric Company LLC US Region + counterparty + named site (Vogtle, Georgia). Ran to 2014-03-15
2010-04-28 BHI · 20100428900012 · 20111004900227 "Nuclear power plant auxiliary equipment supply" ₩70,459,929,600 = USD 63,822,400 at ₩1,104.00/$ · 26.5%; amended 2011-10-04 to ₩82,690,882,138 = USD 70,106,725 at ₩1,179.50/$ · 47.81% Toshiba — a Japanese company "overseas (US)" Region only. Ran to 2014-05-31
2010-08-11 BHI · 20100811900019 "Nuclear power plant auxiliary equipment supply" (voluntary filing) ₩5,841,864,000 = USD 5,040,000 at ₩1,159.10/$ · 2.2% Toshiba "overseas (US)" Region only. Ran to 2013-08-30
2014-09-23 BHI · 20140923900036 Combined-cycle power equipment supply ₩46,770,141,960 = USD 44,760,400 at ₩1,044.90/$ · 7.53% Calpine US Region + counterparty
2016-01-29 BHI · 20160129900118 Combined-cycle power equipment supply ₩6,404,520,000 = USD 5,300,000 at ₩1,208.4/$ · 1.3% Amec Foster Wheeler North America US Region + counterparty
2016-06-22 BHI · 20160622900039 Combined-cycle power equipment supply ₩7,002,464,000 = USD 6,020,000 at ₩1,163.20/$ · 2.0% Amec Foster Wheeler — the parent plc was British "overseas" Unresolved — neither test is met; see the limits section
2020-12-21 Doosan Enerbility · 20201221800128 · 20220531800931 "Guam Ukudu Power Plant" — 200MW-class combined-cycle plant and 25MW ESS ₩623,988,800,000 = USD 571,000,000 at ₩1,092.80/$ · 3.98% Korea Electric Power (KEPCO) and East-West Power; the 2022 amendment names Guam Ukudu Power LLC "Guam, Dededo and Piti districts" Named site on US soil (a territory, not a state). Ran to 2024-10-31
2025-12-17 Doosan Enerbility · 20251217800425 "Doosan large gas turbine package supply contract" Withheld ("maintenance of commercial confidentiality"), withheld until 2028-09-30 Withheld US Region only — in force
2026-03-06 Doosan Enerbility · 20260306801165 "Doosan large gas turbine package supply contract" Withheld, withheld until 2029-11-30 Withheld US Region only — in force

Source: DART filing texts, read directly and transcribed. Contract names are our translations of the filings’ Korean; the quoted phrases are the filings’ own wording. Percentages are each filing’s own “share of recent revenue” field, whose base is that filing’s stated recent-revenue figure — a different year and, for some, a different consolidation basis in each case, so they are not comparable across rows. Doosan Heavy Industries & Construction is the former name of Doosan Enerbility; BHI’s 2007 filing was made under that company’s own former name, 범우이엔지, which is how it appears in the DART document title. Five BHI rows and one Doosan row carry a correction marker in DART’s index. For three of them — the 2006 LURGI, 2010 BHI–Toshiba and 2020 Guam contracts — we read the amendments and they are folded into the row; for the 2014 Calpine and both 2016 Amec Foster Wheeler contracts the amended texts sit inside the unread block described in the limits section. On dollars, the fifteen rows split three ways, and we handle each differently on purpose. Eleven print their own dollar figure, and we transcribe it. Three withhold the amount outright. The fifteenth — the 2006 Doosan filing — prints an exchange rate but no dollar figure: 적용환율 : 944.80원/USD(9/26 매매기준율), the applied rate. Dividing the contract value by the filing’s own rate gives ₩176,987,494,400 ÷ ₩944.80 = USD 187,328,000 with a remainder of exactly zero, which is itself evidence the contract was written in dollars and rounded into won for the filing. We still leave that row in won in the table, because the dollar figure is ours and not the filing’s, and it belongs in a note rather than in a column a reader will read as transcription. Where we do convert, it is at the rate the filing itself names — never at a later rate, which would manufacture a figure in no document. The one figure in this article converted at a current rate is the statute’s ₩2tn of legal capital, where the text says so and names the rate.

Four observations, none of which require an opinion.

Four of the fifteen are nuclear, and which of them counts as "American" depends on which of the three tests you apply. Run them one at a time and you get three different answers from the same four contracts:

  • Region field names the United States: three. Doosan’s 2008 Vogtle order, and BHI’s two 2010 contracts supplying Toshiba, both of which put 국외(미국) — overseas (US) — in the region field and title the scope 원자력 발전소 보조설비 공급, nuclear power plant auxiliary equipment.
  • Counterparty is an American entity: two. The 2008 Vogtle order from Westinghouse Electric Company LLC, and the 2007 order printed as from "US Westinghouse" — whose region field reads China, for Sanmen and Haiyang. BHI’s counterparty on both 2010 contracts is Toshiba, a Japanese company, which at the time owned Westinghouse.
  • Filing names an actual American place: one of the four. Only the 2008 filing does; the other American place named anywhere in the census, Guam, is on a gas contract. It does not say "reactor equipment"; it says AP1000 — Westinghouse’s design — at Vogtle, in Georgia. BHI’s two filings name no plant and no town; their claim to an American destination rests entirely on that region field.

So the honest sentence is not "one" and not "three" but all three at once, each with its test named. One further filing — the 2007 Bechtel feedwater heaters — names no plant type at all, so it counts in none of the four. Korea’s own reactor, the APR1400, appears in none of them either. Every precedent here is Korea supplying an American reactor programme as a vendor — not Korea exporting a Korean reactor.

And all of it ended twelve years ago. The Vogtle contract ran to March 15, 2014. BHI’s larger Toshiba contract ran to May 31, 2014 and the smaller one to August 30, 2013. That is the whole nuclear record, and its last day was May 31, 2014. So the precise statement is not that Korean companies have no US nuclear contract history — they have one, at two companies — but that no nuclear contract with an American site or an American counterparty has been in force since 2014. It is a weaker-sounding sentence and a stronger fact, because it comes with the dates on it. A keyword search for "zero" would have got it wrong in both directions.

What Korea actually sells into the United States is turbines, boilers and heat exchangers — and the biggest one of all was a gas plant on Guam. Doosan’s 2020 Ukudu contract is the largest amount printed in full anywhere in this table: USD 571,000,000, for a 200MW-class combined-cycle plant and a 25MW battery, on American soil, with the region field reading "Guam, Dededo and Piti districts" (rcpNos 20201221800128, 20220531800931). It finished on October 31, 2024. The two contracts still running are also gas: both 2025–26 Doosan Enerbility filings name the product in the contract title, and it is not a reactor. Both withhold the amount, and both state the reason in the same words: the amount “is 2.5% or more of recent revenue and therefore constitutes a mandatory disclosure item.” That sentence sets a floor, and the floor can be derived from the filing’s own numbers:

Deriving the floor on a withheld amount. Both filings state recent revenue of ₩16,233,054,771,559 (FY2024, consolidated) and that the contract is at least 2.5% of it.
₩16,233,054,771,559 × 2.5% = ₩405,826,369,289
₩405,826,369,289 ÷ ₩1,345.06 = $301.7M
So each of the two withheld US gas-turbine contracts is worth at least about $301.7M. This is our arithmetic on the filings’ figures, not a disclosed number, and it is a floor and not an estimate — the true values could be far higher. The rate is ₩1,345.06/$1 as of September 7, 2026, the same rate used across our four company pieces on these filings so the figures reconcile.

No single field gets you the right answer, and the ways it fails are not symmetrical. Count the region field and nothing else and you get thirteen contracts — but you would still miss the July 2007 Doosan contract, whose region field correctly reads China for Sanmen and Haiyang even though the orderer printed in the filing is "US Westinghouse", and you would miss the June 2016 BHI contract, which declines to name any country and prints only 국외, overseas. Count the counterparty field instead and you get nine, dropping BHI’s two nuclear contracts with Toshiba and its 2006 contract with LURGI — the three cases where the goods went to America but the company that ordered them did not live there. Count only filings that name a town or a plant and you get two.

Three of those field values also do not spell the country out in a form any obvious search would match. 국외(미국) reads "overseas (US)" in a parenthesis; the 2001 Doosan filing writes the region as "U S A" with spaces, under a label that reads 공급(판매)지역 rather than the modern 판매ㆍ공급지역; and Guam is written 괌, a word that contains no part of "US", "미국" or "America". All three of those are inside the region field itself, which is why we report the field’s value verbatim in the table instead of a tidy country code.

🏛️ If the Design Is Certified, Why Is Nothing Being Built?

Because a design certification permits construction; it does not order it — and in the almost seven years since Korea’s APR1400 was certified, not one US licence application has referenced it.

The certification is real, and its dates are worth getting right because they are routinely merged. The US Nuclear Regulatory Commission issued the APR1400 design certification as a direct final rule published May 22, 2019 (84 FR 23439), with the applicants named as KEPCO and Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power. A second document published August 16, 2019 (84 FR 41885) confirmed the effective date: September 19, 2019. A separate, earlier standard design approval was issued in October 2018. Three distinct US regulatory actions across two years, and Korean corporate filings themselves print the 2018 approval and the 2019 certification in different sections — which is how they end up conflated in secondary coverage.

One important update changes the shape of this story, and it is recent enough that most secondary coverage has not caught up. Design certifications used to run fifteen years, which would have put the APR1400’s expiry in 2034. A rule published July 2, 2025 and effective September 15, 2025 extended the term to forty years, and it did so retroactively: the rule “replaces the 15-year duration for DCs with a 40-year duration period, both for existing DCs currently in effect and generically for future DCs, including renewals,” and it “does not change the date of issuance or renewal for existing DCs” (Source: 90 FR 28869, direct final rule; effective date confirmed at 90 FR 41503, Aug 26, 2025).

Apply that to the APR1400 and its certification runs to September 19, 2059 — issuance date unchanged, forty years instead of fifteen. That date is our arithmetic on the rule and the original effective date; the NRC does not print it anywhere. Any analysis built on a looming 2034 deadline is working from a superseded rule.

So the certificate is not the constraint. The constraint is that in the United States, building a reactor requires a combined licence — construction and operation for a specific site — and someone has to apply for one. The NRC publishes the list. As read on September 10, 2026 it carried 20 entries, and the referenced designs were AP1000, ESBWR, U.S. EPR, US-APWR, ABWR and Aurora. The APR1400 appeared on none of them, and the string “APR1400” did not appear anywhere on the page. ⚠️ We tried to re-read that page on September 29, 2026 and could not: nrc.gov returned HTTP 403 to us on both a plain and a browser-identified request. So this paragraph is dated September 10 and has not been refreshed. The Federal Register check below was re-run, and it is the independent second route to the same question.

We checked that a second way, independently, and re-ran it on September 29, 2026. When a licence application is docketed, the Federal Register publishes notices. A full-text search of the Federal Register API returns 42 documents mentioning “APR1400” — all rulemakings, fee schedules and information collections, none a licence action. The most recent is dated September 24, 2026: a proposed rule titled “Regulatory Enhancements for Reactor Licensing, Decommissioning, and Operational Oversight.” It is generic licensing reform, and it is the one document that arrived between our first pass and this one; the count was 41 on September 10. A search for “Korea Hydro” returns 37 documents, unchanged, and the most recent is still dated June 19, 2020: a fee schedule. Six years of silence in the register that would have to carry the notice (Source: Federal Register full-text search, both queries re-run via the API on Sep 29, 2026).

The wider context is the least comfortable part of this section for anyone bullish on certification as a signal.

10 CFR Part 52 appendix Design Certification Built in the US?
A ABWR (GE-Hitachi) In force No — South Texas 3 & 4 licence terminated
B System 80+ Expired, no renewal sought No
C AP600 Expired, no renewal sought No
D AP1000 (Westinghouse) In force Yes — Vogtle 3 (2023) and 4 (2024)
E ESBWR (GE-Hitachi) In force No — North Anna 3 licensed, not started
F APR1400 (KEPCO / KHNP) In force to Sep 19, 2059 No — never referenced in an application
G NuScale In force No

Sources: 84 FR 23439 (APR1400 certification, effective Sep 19, 2019); 90 FR 28869 and 90 FR 41503 (term extended to 40 years for existing certifications, effective Sep 15, 2025; the 2059 date is our arithmetic); NRC Combined License Applications, page updated Aug 27, 2026; Federal Register full-text search. Build status is from the NRC’s own application records. Appendix B (System 80+) and Appendix C (AP600) expired and were not renewed; the remaining appendices are codified and not expired. We did not independently re-verify each remaining appendix’s current term or any pending renewal application: eCFR answered our requests for the Part 52 appendix text with a bot-block redirect. So read “in force” here as “codified, not expired,” and nothing more.

Seven certified designs. Two expired without anyone bothering to renew them. One — the AP1000 — has produced operating American reactors. That is the base rate a certification is worth, and it is the reason “the APR1400 is certified in the US” is a true statement that carries almost no information about whether anything gets built.

⚡ Quick Take: The forty-year extension cuts both ways. It removes any deadline pressure — nobody has to hurry — which makes nearly seven quiet years less meaningful than it would otherwise be, and also removes the forcing event that would have made the next few years decisive.

⏱️ How Long Does It Take a Headline to Become a Filing?

On the one Korean reactor export we can trace filing by filing, sixteen months and twenty-four days — and we know because the contract filing quotes the original newspaper headline back at itself.

This is a single data point, offered as a baseline rather than a forecast. Korea had exported reactors before the Czech contract, and the wording matters. KHNP’s own English site calls the December 2009 Barakah contract Korea’s “debut in large-scale nuclear power plant exports” — not its first reactor export, and that qualifier is doing real work. The first contract to export Korean reactors was signed on 15 December 1999: KEDO’s turnkey contract with KEPCO for two 1,000MWe Korean Standard units in North Korea, base value $4.182bn, suspended in December 2003 at about 34.5% complete and formally terminated in May 2006. The first reactor Korea actually delivered was the Jordan Research and Training Reactor, handed over on 15 June 2017 — which KAERI itself calls “Korea’s first export of a reactor.” A KEPCO-led consortium signed a contract with the Emirates Nuclear Energy Corporation on December 27, 2009 for four APR1400s at Barakah in Abu Dhabi, and all four have been in commercial operation since the last of them entered service in September 2024. The disclosed amount was $18.6bn — KEPCO’s own SEC Form 20-F for FY2009 prints that figure and its scope: designing and constructing four 1,400MW units, supplying nuclear fuel for three cycles including initial loading, and providing technical support and training. The widely quoted “about $20.4bn” traces to the December 2009 announcement and carries no citation in any source we could reach (Sources: Emirates Nuclear Energy Corporation for the fourth unit entering commercial operation; the contract amount is KEPCO’s own, filed with the SEC as well as with Korea’s FSS, and subject to the escalation provisions the filing names; the December 2009 announcement’s “about $20.4bn” is the figure the World Nuclear Association and the wires carry, and we could find no document behind it. The KEDO figures are from KEDO’s own Turnkey Contract page and 2005 Annual Report — note the 34.5% belongs to the December 2003 suspension, not to the 2006 termination, which is a conflation that has travelled widely. Note also that the Korean filings call the plant “BNPP” and never “Barakah”: searching them for the English name returns nothing, which is its own small lesson in reading primary sources.) Barakah predates the disclosure trail this section uses — what makes the Czech interval measurable at all is that the contract filing reprints its own chain of clarification filings — so Barakah cannot be timed the same way from the filings we read. Korea’s most recent reactor export — and the only one whose headline-to-filing chain can be reconstructed from disclosure filings — is the Czech Dukovany 5 & 6 project. KEPCO E&C’s architect-engineering contract filing for it (rcpNo 20251212801320, filed December 12, 2025) contains this sentence, which we translate from the Korean: “This disclosure is the confirming disclosure of the clarification (undetermined) regarding the report of the content ‘Beat France in Europe, wins ₩24tn Czech nuclear order’ and similar, reported in the Chosun Ilbo and others on July 18, 2024.”

The filing then lists the chain: six separate “clarification of rumour or report (undetermined)” filings, the first of them dated the day the headline itself ran, running to the confirming disclosure of December 12, 2025. First headline to signed contract: sixteen months and twenty-four days. The six dates themselves, and what changed between them, are chronology; they belong to our timeline of this industry, not here.

Two properties of that number are worth stating plainly. It is one observation, so it is a reference point and not a distribution — the true interval for a US project could be much shorter if political will is stronger, or much longer, or infinite. And it describes a project that did happen: this is the interval on a success, not the interval on an average.

What it does establish is that a gap of many months between confident reporting and any filing is normal in this industry, in this country, on this kind of contract — and that a Korean company facing press reports it cannot confirm has a disclosure regime that makes it say so, repeatedly, on the record, with dates. The chronology of the Czech project itself belongs elsewhere in our coverage; here the interval is only a ruler.

🏢 Which Listed Companies Are Actually Exposed, and to What?

Four Korean listed companies sit in this chain with four different exposures — and the largest disclosed US contracts among them are gas turbines, not reactors.

One line each, because each of these companies has a full piece of its own and repeating their financials here would be the wrong article.

  • Doosan Enerbility (034020) — the only domestic maker of large gas turbines and the nuclear steam supply system supplier on the Czech project; also the owner of the two withheld US contracts in the census above, both gas turbines, each at least about $301.7M — and, before them, of the largest US-soil contract in the whole census, the USD 571,000,000 Ukudu combined-cycle plant on Guam, which finished in October 2024.
  • KEPCO E&C (052690) — it designs the reactor. It is the engineering company behind the APR1400 whose certification sits in Appendix F, and the holder of the €724,958,299 Czech architect-engineering contract.
  • KEPCO KPS (051600) — it maintains plants. Its Westinghouse relationship runs the opposite way to the one in the headlines: its own filings label it 기술도입(원자력), nuclear technology intake, for “primary-side major-component maintenance technology cooperation”, and its current term is printed in the filing as ‘25.12.31. ~ ‘35.12.30.(10년) — ten years, from December 31, 2025 to December 30, 2035 — in an agreement the filing describes as “concluded and in operation.” The filing does not use the word “renewal”; that this term replaced an earlier one is our inference and not the document’s statement (Source: DART rcpNo 20260323000091, FY2025 annual report, major technology cooperation agreements table, as of Dec 31, 2025; reprinted unchanged as of Jun 30, 2026 in rcpNo 20260814001938). It is not a royalty negotiation waiting to happen; it is a signed, current, decade-long licence in.
  • BHI (083650) — it makes plant equipment, and it has the longest US-region history of the four. It accounts for seven rows above, six of which have a region field naming the United States; the seventh is the unresolved June 2016 one. Three name combined-cycle plants. Two are nuclear — the 2010 Toshiba contracts titled nuclear power plant auxiliary equipment, which makes BHI the second of only two companies here ever to put nuclear scope and a US region field on the same form. One is vessels, tanks and heat exchangers, and one is a 2007 feedwater-heater order from Bechtel; neither states a plant type, so we do not classify those two. The last of them finished on July 7, 2017, and four of the six US-region contracts were voluntary filings — 자율공시 — which a company is free not to make.

And the structural point that matters most to a foreign investor: the counterparty on every Korean reactor export contract is Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power, which is unlisted. It is corp_code 00382001 in DART, a subsidiary of Korea Electric Power (KOSPI 015760). You cannot buy the signing party. You can buy its suppliers, which is a different exposure with different economics. How many contractual steps sit between a foreign investor and the party that actually signs — and why those steps cannot simply be added up — is the subject of our filing map of the Korean nuclear export chain. Here it is enough to note that the entity named in the counterparty field is not investable at any price.

✅ What Would Have to Appear for This to Be Real?

A government document, a Korean contract filing, or a US licence application. As of 1 October 2026 the first of the three exists and the other two do not — which is the whole point of keeping them as three separate rows rather than one verdict.

This is the part of the article designed to outlive it. The next time a report appears saying Korea has agreed to build reactors in America, these are the three places to look, and all three are free and public.

If it were real, it would appear as… Where to check Status, and the date we checked
A government document — ministry press release, White House fact sheet, USTR fact sheet motir.go.kr press and clarification boards · whitehouse.gov · ustr.gov ✅ Yes, since Sep 30, 2026 — re-checked Oct 1, 2026. A U.S. Commerce Department fact sheet names Project Star, Project Power and Project North; Korea’s ministry posted its counterpart plan on Oct 1 (article 30,094, division 미주통상과). This row has flipped. ⚠️ The nuclear and Alaska legs are described as going to further review before individual projects are decided, and the fourteen clarifications still stand unretracted — the most recent, Sep 17, still says remittance size and timing are not confirmed
A Korean contract filing — 단일판매ㆍ공급계약체결 with “US” in the region field DART — search the company, read the region and counterparty fields ❌ No new US contract of any kind — re-checked Sep 29, 2026 across all four companies for Sep 10–29. The two most recent US filings are still the gas turbines of Dec 2025 and Mar 2026
A US licence application — a combined licence referencing the APR1400 NRC combined-licence list · Federal Register ❌ Zero of the 20 listed applications reference it — the NRC list as of Sep 10, 2026; nrc.gov returned 403 to us on Sep 29. The Federal Register was re-checked Sep 29: still no docketing notice
(secondary) US infrastructure records — interconnection queue, state utility commission, air permit ERCOT · Texas PUC · FERC · TCEQ ❌ No match for the reported project name — as of Sep 11, 2026, not re-run. ⚠️ TCEQ’s new portal could not be queried

⚠️ “Absent from DART” is not the same as “absent.”

This is the single most important caveat on the table above, and it applies to us as much as to anyone. Government-to-government talks and memoranda of understanding are not disclosable events under Korean rules. A listed company files when it signs a contract — not when it negotiates, not when a ministry discusses it, not when a foreign utility considers it. Nor do Korean filings capture things decided outside the company: a lost tender, a regulatory ruling, an award that goes elsewhere. We have been caught by exactly this blind spot before, in a research file that ran to hundreds of lines on a shipbuilder and never mentioned a lost C$60bn submarine bid, because the decision was made in another country and left no Korean filing.

So read the table as “nothing has reached the filing stage yet,” not as “nothing is happening.” Those are very different claims, and only the first one is supported.

🔴 What We Got Wrong

Four premises we held while researching this piece turned out to be false. Three failed the same way — we took reporting as record without opening the government’s own documents — and the fourth is one we did to ourselves, twice, with the same method error.

We publish these because a piece about the gap between reporting and documents has no standing if it hides its own instances of that gap.

What we believed What the primary source says
“The package is unsigned.” Wrong. The framework MOU was signed November 14, 2025 — the ministry published both language versions — and a special act passed the National Assembly on March 12, 2026. What is unsigned is the individual projects
“Final signing is expected September 18, 2026.” Wrong. That date came from a newspaper, and the ministry’s Nuclear Export Promotion Division answered that report the same day it ran — the clarification is registered September 7, 2026 and its attachment is filenamed “(9.7, Money Today)”. We had planned to publish on that date. A date the government has already contradicted is not an event
"Korean companies have zero US nuclear contracts" — and then, after counting, "there is exactly one" Both wrong, and the second one was ours. There are four nuclear contracts with an American connection, at two companies. Doosan 2008 — USD 247,029,000, Westinghouse, Vogtle 3 and 4, region US, the only one of the four nuclear contracts that names an American place. BHI 2010 — two contracts titled nuclear power plant auxiliary equipment, region 국외(미국), counterparty Toshiba, USD 63,822,400 (amended to USD 70,106,725) and USD 5,040,000. And Doosan 2007 — counterparty "US Westinghouse", site in China. We asserted the absence without counting; then we counted, found one, and wrote "only one" without noticing that two more were sitting inside the set we had already read. The cause was a token list written by hand: it held 미국 and US but not 괌, and it was never tested against the parenthesised form the region field actually uses
“There are seven ministry clarifications, and the most recent is September 10, 2026.” Wrong on both halves, and we made the same mistake twice. There are fourteen in 2026. Four are later than we thought — September 15, 15, 16 and 17 — and four are earlier: May 8, July 28, August 18 and August 25. We had read the board’s first page and stopped, which is exactly the error the third row above describes: we searched where we expected the answer instead of enumerating the population. A board with 2,630 entries across 263 pages does not yield a count to a glance at page one. On September 29, 2026 we paginated it, filtered on five Korean terms, and tested the filter against a statement we already knew was in the set before trusting a single zero it produced

The third and fourth are the instructive failures, and they are the same failure. Asserting that something does not exist is a much stronger claim than asserting that something does, and it requires a census rather than a search. We wrote that sentence about the filings and then broke it on the clarifications a fortnight later. That is why this article now carries a coverage percentage and a named 98-filing hole in one census, and a stated pagination depth, keyword list and exclusion list in the other, instead of the words “none” and “seven.”

⚠️ The Bear Case Against This Article

  • The absence of documents is weak evidence about the presence of activity. American reactor projects are decided by utilities, states and federal regulators. There is no reason for an early-stage US decision to appear in a Korean filing at all, and intergovernmental discussion appears in neither system.
  • Our census had a hole and we knew where it was — and it is now closed. 98 of 1,199 filings (8.2%) were unread, 95 of them BHI’s from 2015 to 2020, because the DART host that serves those older exchange-routed filings had stopped answering us. On September 11, 2026 it came back and we read all 98. Thirty of them do concern nuclear work, so the gap was not empty — but not one of the 98 carries both a nuclear subject and any US marker, which turns the counts above from floors into totals. One recovered row is worth naming because it tests this article’s own rule: a 2015 BHI combined-cycle contract worth ₩47,048,200,000 names GE Power and Water as counterparty while its region field reads domestic. A brand is not a jurisdiction and the filing prints no country, so it does not join the US count — and unlike the Amec row it is not unplaceable either, because the region field does place it, in Korea. That block also holds the amended texts of BHI’s 2014 Calpine and both 2016 Amec Foster Wheeler contracts, so those three rows are as first filed, not as finally amended.
  • One row was read through a non-standard route. The 2001 Doosan filing is on a pre-2002 form and our tooling could not decode its Korean labels cleanly. Every value we print from it — "U S A", General Electric International, Inc, ₩734,272,073,594, USD 562,014,599, ₩1,306.50 — is Latin script or digits in the filing itself and so is unaffected by the encoding, but the label each value sits under is our reading of the form’s numbering rather than of legible text. Treat that row as the least certain in the table.
  • Counting is not the same as having counted correctly, and we have the scar to prove it. An earlier version of this article said "ten US-related contracts" and "only one at an American site." Both were wrong — and not because of the 8.2% hole. The missing contracts were inside the part we had already read. A hand-written token list is the weakest step in this method, and it is the one step no coverage percentage measures.
  • Three of the BHI rows we do print carry correction markers. DART’s index flags the 2014, January 2016 and June 2016 filings as later amended. We have now read every one of those amendments, recovered on September 11, 2026 once the host that had been refusing us came back: all six state a delivery-date change as the reason, and not one of them revises the contract amount. The Calpine end date moved from December 1, 2015 to November 6, 2016; the $5.3M Amec Foster Wheeler contract had its end date pushed four separate times, ending at March 30, 2018. The won and dollar figures we quote are the originals, and they are also the current ones.
  • Doosan is already inside the AP1000 supply chain, as its own 2007 filing shows — Westinghouse as orderer, Chinese site. If the American nuclear build happens with AP1000s rather than APR1400s, “no APR1400 anywhere” would not mean “no Doosan revenue.” Certification of the Korean design is not the only route to Korean earnings.
  • Korea has already built four reactors abroad — just not in America. The Barakah plant in Abu Dhabi is four APR1400s, ordered from a KEPCO-led consortium in December 2009 and all four now in commercial operation. “No APR1400 in the United States” is therefore a statement about the United States, not about whether the design can be exported, licensed abroad or delivered. The absence this article documents is jurisdictional, and that is a narrower claim than it first reads.
  • Regulatory friction may be shallower than nearly seven quiet years suggest. The NRC has published analysis that treats the APR1400 as one of the designs a site could hypothetically use, and the ADVANCE Act sets an eighteen-month statutory review clock for combined licences. The bottleneck may be commercial rather than regulatory.
  • The forty-year certification term removes the deadline argument in both directions. Nothing expires in 2034, so nothing forces a decision — and equally, nothing about the delay so far implies the certificate is being abandoned.
  • Our search for “no primary source” is bounded by what we could reach. The NRC’s document repository and its full-text search returned errors to us on September 10 and 11, 2026, and on September 29, 2026 the NRC’s public combined-licence page itself returned HTTP 403 to us, so that paragraph is dated to September 10 and was not refreshed. The Texas environmental permit portal is now JavaScript-only and was not re-run; the US Commerce Department’s Korea page returned an access error. We report those as unchecked, not as empty.
  • September 18 passing is not evidence, and nineteen quiet days are barely evidence. The reported signing date was never a government date, so its passing disproves nothing — a date the ministry declined to confirm cannot be falsified by a calendar. The same applies to our re-check: nineteen days of no filings and eleven days of no clarifications is a short window, it spans a Korean holiday-free but otherwise ordinary fortnight, and intergovernmental negotiation would leave no trace in either system at any speed. Read the re-check as “the record did not move,” not as “the deal died.”
  • Our clarification census is a keyword census, and keyword censuses have edges. We paginated the ministry’s board back to August 2025 and filtered titles on 대미, 한미, 미국, 원전 and 웨스팅하우스. A statement about this package whose title used none of those five words would be invisible to us. We also made four judgment calls in the other direction, excluding clarifications about Korea’s domestic nuclear-export governance as a different subject; a reader who counts those gets eighteen, not fourteen, and we would not call that reader wrong so much as differently scoped.

📚 Lingo Check

Term What it means, and the trap Korean
Press clarification A document a Korean ministry posts to answer a specific news article, naming the responding division and the answered outlet. It is a primary source and it exists only in Korean. This is where the government contradicts a story that ran worldwide in English. 보도설명자료
Design certification (NRC DC) A US rule certifying a reactor design as acceptable so it can be referenced in a licence application. It permits; it does not order. Check who holds it: the APR1400 certificate names KEPCO and KHNP as applicants, not the listed engineering company that did the work. 표준설계인증
Standard design approval (SDA) The step before certification. The APR1400 received one in October 2018 and the certification rule took effect September 19, 2019 — three actions, two years, routinely merged into one date. 표준설계승인
Combined licence (COL) A US licence to build and operate at a named site. This is the stage at which construction becomes real. The NRC’s list carries 20 entries and none references the APR1400 — though the page notes it tracks an application only until a licence is issued, so read 20 as the list, not as the complete history. 건설운영허가
NSSS Nuclear steam supply system — reactor vessel, steam generators, coolant pumps and the primary loop. The high-value core of a nuclear island, contracted separately from the plant design. 원자로계통
Architect-engineering (A/E) Design of the whole plant as distinct from the reactor inside it. In Korean projects these are two separate contracts, and on Dukovany they went to two different filers. 종합설계
Single sale or supply contract The mandatory filing when a Korean listed company wins a large contract. It has a sales/supply region field — which is what makes counting possible — but that field sometimes reads “overseas” instead of naming a country. 단일판매ㆍ공급계약체결
Withheld disclosure Masking the amount or counterparty for commercial confidentiality, with a stated expiry. The amount is hidden but a floor survives: the filing must state that it is at least 2.5% of recent revenue, and recent revenue is printed. 공시유보
Clarification of rumour or report (undetermined) A mandatory filing when a media report moves the stock. “Undetermined” means nothing is fixed and the company must re-disclose. The Czech contract took six of these before a confirming disclosure — which is how headline-to-contract slippage becomes measurable. 풍문 또는 보도에 대한 해명(미확정)
Capital call Funding drawn as milestones are met rather than paid up front. It is the mechanism that makes the $20bn annual cap operative: the money moves as projects progress, not on signature. 자금요청

🎯 Why It Matters for K-Export Stars

This site exists because a large amount of decision-relevant information about Korean companies is published, free, in Korean, and never crosses into English. Usually that means a disclosure footnote. This week it means something blunter. Every one of the fourteen documents answers a Korean outlet — KBS, Edaily, Money Today, Herald Business, Yonhap, Hankyoreh, Hankyung, JoongAng Ilbo — named outright in the attachment filename, on a public board, in Korean-only PDF and HWPX files. The earliest is dated May 8, 2026, four months before the story reached English at all. No English-language reader encountering the headline has any way to know they exist.

Nothing in this article required special access or analytical cleverness. It required opening a Korean government board, paginating it to the bottom rather than reading its first page, reading the structured region field in the 1,101 filings whose text we could obtain out of a population of 1,199, and querying two American federal APIs. The wires had the same afternoon we did. The Korea Discount is usually explained in terms of governance and geopolitics; a real part of it is simply that the primary record is in a language most holders of the stock do not read. That is also the part an individual investor can do something about — see our guides on how to access Korean shares, how to read Korean investor flows, and what the Value-Up programme actually commits companies to.

And we will keep score on this one. Every claim in this piece carries the date we checked it — the Korean systems on September 29, 2026, the American ones on September 10 or 11 where we could not reach them again — and each of the three checklist rows has a specific document that would flip it. If a project is announced by either government, the checklist gets its first tick — and, we would guess, the other two boxes will stay empty for a while, which will itself be the story. We correct our published work in public when it turns out wrong; the corrections policy explains how.

Conclusion

As of 1 October 2026, what exists on paper is a framework, a statute, and now a named first project announced by both governments — but still not a single Korean contract filing for any of it. What does not exist on paper is a project. Korea signed a memorandum committing up to $200bn of strategic investment, capped at $20bn a year, and passed a law creating the vehicle to run it. It has not named a first project, a nuclear component, an amount, a timetable, or a profit split — and its own ministry has addressed those reports in fourteen separate documents this year, most recently on September 17, 2026, confirming none of them.

That is not the same as saying the reported deal has collapsed. It is not even evidence about whether it will happen. The reported September 18 signing was never a government date, and its passing has disproved nothing — as we said it would not, before it passed. Nineteen days of filings and eleven days of ministry silence have followed, and government-to-government talks leave no trace in either system. Undecided is simply undecided, and it has now been undecided, on the record, since May.

What is worth holding on to is the shape of the record. Korea’s reactor design has been certified in the United States since 2019 and now runs to 2059, and no American licence application has ever cited it. Korean nuclear equipment has reached American sites — two companies, three contracts, the last of them finishing on May 31, 2014 — and every one of those was Korea supplying an American reactor programme, not Korea selling a Korean reactor. Since 2014 there has been nothing nuclear. What there has been is gas: a USD 571,000,000 plant on Guam that finished in 2024, and two turbine packages signed in December 2025 and March 2026 whose amounts the filings withhold. And the party that signs Korean reactor exports — Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power — cannot be bought at any price, because it is not listed.

The three places a real deal must appear are a government release, a contract filing and a licence application. Today all three are empty. That is a checkable statement, and it is the most useful thing we can offer about a story where almost every circulating number has no document behind it.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Figures are transcribed from primary filings and government documents as cited, each carrying the date on which we verified it — the Korean ministry board and DART on September 29, 2026, the filing census and the American regulatory records on September 10 and 11, 2026; prices, policies and regulatory status change. Statements about what documents do not exist are bounded by the search scope described in the article, including a named 8.2% gap in the filing census and several sources we could not access. K-Export Stars is not affiliated with any company, ministry or agency mentioned. Do your own research and consult a licensed adviser before making investment decisions.

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